Macroeconomic Monitor December 2024 – Looking Back, Moving Forward: Macroeconomic Insights at the End of 2024 and What to Expect at the Start of 2025

The United States economy in late 2024 showed signs of cautious optimism. Consumer confidence improved, reaching 111.7 in November, supported by labor market strength. Manufacturing stabilized, with PMI at 49.7, and inflation remained at 2.7% year-on-year. The Federal Reserve’s rate cut to 4.25%–4.5% balanced growth with inflation control, though it caused market fluctuations, including rising […]

Macroeconomic Monitor November 2024 – Global and Domestic Overview: Resilient Growth, Inflation Trends, and Policy Shifts Across Key Economies

The US economy experienced a slight slowdown in Q3 2024, with GDP growth at 2.8% QoQ (down from 3.0% in Q2), driven by robust consumer and government spending despite declining private investment and higher import growth. Manufacturing remained in contraction with the PMI at 48.5 in October, as industrial production and durable goods orders continued […]

Macroeconomic Monitor October 2024 – The World After Rate Cuts: Declining Consumer Confidence and Disruptions in Middle-Class Spending

Globally, United States consumer confidence weakened significantly to pessimistic region in September 2024, with the Consumer Confidence Index falling to 98.7 from 105.6 in August 2024, marking the largest drop since August 2021. Concerns about job security, reduced hours, and fewer job openings contributed to the decline. Meanwhile, US Purchasing Manager’s Index indicates a third […]